THE IMPACT OF THE 2008 GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS ON THE STRUCTURE OF THE TRANSMISSION OF PRICE INNOVATIONS ACROSS FINANCIAL MARKETS: THE CASE OF SOUTHWEST ASIAN EQUITY MARKETS

Qunfeng Liao, Seyed Mehdian, John Stephens

Abstract


This study examines the reaction of Southeast Asian equity markets to the transmission of price innovations from major equity markets during the pre and post periods of the 2008 global financial crisis. In particular, we examine the reaction of returns indices in Malaysia, the Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan, and Thailand as endogenous variables, and compare them to the returns indices of the U.S., the Eurozone, Japan, and China as exogenous variables. The results of VAR models indicate the combined and individual impact of the price innovations from the major equity markets on the volatility of returns of selected countries is relatively trivial during either the pre- or post-financial crisis periods. However, the individual impact of the U.S. innovations is generally higher during the post-financial crisis. The ARCH and GARCH models indicate the stock markets of Southeast Asian countries are more responsive to their own price innovations during both the pre- and the post-crisis periods, although some response to U.S. and Eurozone shocks is also observed.


Full text: PDF

Keyword(s)


global financial crisis; Southeast Asian equity markets; price innovations

JEL Codes


G01, G15

References


Afnouch, A., and Hammami, S., 2014. Contagion durning the 2008 financial crisis: The case of BRIC group financial markets and five developed markets. Journal of Business Studies Quarterly, 6(2), 159-186.

Aktan, B., Mandaci, P. E., Kopurlu, B. S., and Ersener, B., 2009. Behaviour of emerging stock markets in the global fnancial meltdown: Evidence from Bric-A. African Journal of Business Management, 3(7), 396-404. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.5897/AJBM09.121

Bailey, W., and Stulz, R. M., 1990. Benefits of international diversification: The case of Pacific Basin stock markets. Journal of Portfolio Management, 16(4), 57-61. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.3905/jpm.1990.409287

Baltzer, M., Cappiello, L., De Santis, R. A., and Manganelli, S., 2008. Measuring Financial Intergration in New EU Member States. European Central Bank Occasional Paper, 81.

Chakrabarti, G., 2011. Financial crisis and the changing nature of volatility contagion in the Asia-Pacific region. Journal of Asset Management, 12(3), 172-184. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/jam.2011.29

Cheung, Y. L., and Ho, Y. K., 1991. The intertemporal stability of the relationships between the Asian emerging equity markets and the developed equity markets. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 18(2), 235-253. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5957.1991.tb00591.x

Dimpfl, T., and Jung, R. C., 2012. Financial market spillovers around the globe. Applied Financial Economics, 22(1), 45-57. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09603107.2011.597721

Forbes, K. J., and Rigobon, R., 2002. No contagion, only interdependence: Measuring stock market comovements. The Journal of Finance, 57(5), 2223-2261. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00494

Gębka, B., and Serwa, D., 2006. Are financial spillovers stable across regimes?: Evidence from the 1997 Asian crisis. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 16(4), 301-317. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2005.03.002

Heymans, A., and da Camara, R., 2013. Measuring spill-over effects of foreign markets on the JSE before, during and after international fiancial crisis. South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences, 16(4), 418-434.

Islam, R., 2014. Comparing financial contagion and volatility spill over and structural break within major Asian economies pre and post global recession to that of Asian crisis. Journal of Applied Business and Economics, 16(4), 92-111.

Kenani, J. M., Purnomo, J., and Maoni, F., 2013. The impact of the global financial crisis on the integration of the Chinese and Indonesian stock markets. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 5(9), 69-81. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v5n9p69

Koch, P. D., and Koch, T. W., 1991. Evolution in dynamic linkages across daily national stock indexes. Journal of International Money and Finance, 10(2), 231-251. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0261-5606(91)90037-K

Longin, F., and Solnik, B., 2001. Extreme correlation of international equity markets. The Journal of Finance, 56(2), 649-676. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00340

Nam, J. H., Yuhn, K. H., and Kim, S. B., 2008. What happened to Pacific-Basin emerging markets after the 1997 financial crisis? Applied Financial Economics, 18(8), 639-658. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09603100701222275

Ng, A., 2000. Volatility spillover effects from Japan and the U.S. to the Pacific-Basin. Journal of International Money and Finance, 19(2), 207-233. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0261-5606(00)00006-1

Peša, A. R., and Festić, M., 2012. Testing the "EU announcement effect" on stock market indices and macroeconomic variables in Croatia between 2000 and 2010. Prague Economic Papers, 21(4), 450-469. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.18267/j.pep.434

Shachmurove, Y., 2005. Dynamic linkages among the emerging Middle Eastern and the United States markets. International Journal of Business, 10(1), 103-132.

Stoica, O., Perry, M. J., and Mehdian, S., 2015. An empirical analysis of the diffusion of information across stock markets of Central and Eastern Europe. Prague Economic Papers, 24(2), 192-210. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.18267/j.pep.508

Wongswan, J., 2006. Transmission of information across international equity markets. Review of Financial Studies, 19(4), 1157-1189. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhj033

Yalama, A., 2009. Stock market linkages in emerging markets: Evidence from Turkey and Brazil. Banks and Bank Systems, 4(3), 71-78.

Yamamoto, S., 2014. Transmission of US financial and trade shocks to Asian economies: Implications for spillover of the 2007 - 2009 US financial crisis. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 27, 88-103. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2013.12.002